Tyler Allgeier Dynasty Fantasy Football Value: Buy Low Before Free Agency
Dynasty

Tyler Allgeier Dynasty Fantasy Football Value: Buy Low Before Free Agency

Chris Allen and Jake Trowbridge break down how to approach Tyler Allgeier in dynasty fantasy football heading into the 2026 free agency period.

Vultures get a bad rap. They sit and wait until someone else does all of the dirty work ... only to fly in and pick off the most valuable bites touches when it's convenient for them. That's been the story of Tyler Allgeier in Atlanta, but don't let it mask how productive a 2025 campaign the Falcons RB2 put together ...

Tyler Allgeier Stats and Dynasty Fantasy Football Value

As the RB2 to Bijan Robinson, Allgeier did everything he could to make the most of his opportunities in 2025, but his dynasty value remains suppressed.

Should You Buy Low On Tyler Allgeier In Dynasty Fantasy Football?

Chris: OK, so I feel bad for Tyler Allgeier. Don't you, Jake? Oh, wait. You had Bijan Robinson on one of your teams, didn't you? Well, still, my thought is that Allgeier gets a bad rap because of who he's historically vultured. Not that he's a bad RB.

  • Rushing Success Rate (in games with at least 30% of the team's carries): 45.0%, 17th (out of all RBs - min. 30% team carry rate)
  • Forced Missed Tackle Rate: 26.0%, 3rd
  • Adj. Yards After Contact Per Attempt: 3.8, 11th 

Sure, the Falcons' RB2 isn't the strongest pass catcher (0.92 yards per route run). But, unfortunately for Robinson managers, Allgeier made up for it in short-yardage situations. His 0.15 EPA per rush was ninth-best among all RBs. And at 25 years old, Allgeier can still rip off an explosive run like his peers (7.5% explosive play rate - 9.5% for Robinson).

So, let's look at Allgeier's value like we do every player's: talent and situation. There's not much of a question if he can tote the rock. Or, better yet, if he can do it well enough to score fantasy points. It's his situation that has soured fantasy gamers. But a seat behind Christian McCaffrey would pique your interest, wouldn't it? Again, Cooterdoodle is not paying me to write this, but Allgeier in black and gold doesn't seem bad either. Regardless, if I can make a bet on his situation improving while taking a sure wager on talent, I'll roll the dice before the price jumps.

Jake: Hold onto your Locketts and Conklins, folks, ‘cause this man is scooping up Tylers left and right. As someone who’s clearly been reading up on my favorite dynasty stashes, you know that I think quite highly of Allgeier and would like to see him get an honest shot at top billing in another backfield. However, I’d never considered him to be the replacement for Brian Robinson Jr. in San Francisco. That’s … kinda tantalizing. I could also see him as a future Texan, which would provide a cleaner path to playing time.

Chris laid out a thoughtful and thorough argument, but my assessment really boils down to this: Allgeier is an above-average rusher with a chance to secure a heckuva lot more touches than he’s gotten over the last three seasons. And if he doesn’t? If Atlanta re-signs him or he ends up in an even muddier backfield somehow, what are you really losing? His asking price is so low that it’s practically a non-risk with a substantial reward if we’ve read the tea leaves correctly.

Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Tyler Allgeier
    TylerAllgeier
    RBATLATL
    PPG
    5.17
  2. Bijan Robinson
    BijanRobinson
    RBATLATL
    PPG
    15.67
  3. Brian Robinson
    BrianRobinson
    RBSFSF
    PPG
    1.72