Super Bowl 60 Utilization Report: Rhamondre Stevenson, Kenneth Walker and More
Dwain McFarland breaks down the most pertinent utilization notes for Super Bowl 60 and how to leverage them in fantasy contests and the prop betting market.
Welcome to the Utilization Report, where Dwain McFarland highlights emerging trends for the Seahawks and Patriots from the NFL Playoffs heading into the Super Bowl, including two prop bets and fantasy projections.
Rhamondre Stevenson Prop Bet: Over 49.5 rushing yards (-113)
Stevenson's rushing yards prop is currently between 48.5 and 49.5 yards, priced at -110 to -115. He has beaten that line in every playoff game (53, 70 and 71 yards) against tough defenses. The veteran back projects for 58.9 in our model, making him a four-star bet to go over 49.5 rushing yards in our Player Prop tool.
2. Drake Maye is running slightly more in the playoffs.
In three playoff games, Maye has averaged 2.3 designed rushing attempts and 3.0 scrambles, totaling 5.3 rushing attempts per game. Those numbers are up from 1.2 and 3.6, respectively, in the regular season.
His designed rushing attempt share almost doubled from 5% to 9%, with his scramble rate slightly down from 10% to 9%.
Maye projects as the top QB option in the Super Bowl, thanks in part to his potential to boom as a rusher and a passer.
However, despite his slight bump in rushing attempts per game, our projection model sees his rushing prop as an opportunity to bet the under on his rushing yards.
Drake Maye Prop Bet: Under 37.5 rushing yards (-112)
In the projection model, we project Maye to receive 6.5% of the designed rushing attempts and a 10% scramble rate. Our projection model doesn't see his 0.5 attempt designed rush boost as a big enough reason for his line to climb so far above his season average of 29.3 in games where he played at least 80% of the snaps in 2025.
The biggest difference in the playoffs has been his 13.9 yards per scramble, which is a highly volatile data point, and the Seahawks have allowed 6.7 yards per scramble with their zone-heavy defense this year. Maye projects for 28.6 rushing yards, making him a four-star bet to go under 37.5 rushing yards.
3. Kenneth Walker is balling out (again) in a full-time role.
Zach Charbonnet played only 15% of the snaps in the Divisional Round and missed the Conference Championship game after suffering a torn ACL. In those two games, Walker has posted 35.5 and 21.1 PPR points. He has an 83 Utilization Score over that span, handling 62% of the snaps, 66% of the rushing attempts and garnering a 14% target share.
George Holani has taken over some of Charbonnet's role, limiting Walker's involvement in long-down-and-distance (LDD) situations as well as the two-minute offense. However, the Seahawks have still prioritized getting Walker the ball in the passing game with a sterling 29% targets per route run (TPRR).
Over the last two seasons, Walker has played 60% or more of the snaps for Seattle in 11 games. In those contests, he has averaged 18.7 PPR points and 16.7 half-PPR points with 65 rushing yards and 29.3 receiving yards per game.
The Seahawks ranked 27th (-4%) in dropback rate over expected (DBOE) during the regular season. That has continued in two playoff games (-3%).
Seattle often uses heavy personnel groupings, opting for 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE), the fourth-least this year at 41%. They rank fifth in 21 personnel (2 RB, 1 TE) at 15% and 10th in 12 personnel (1 RB, 2 TE) at 29%.
The Patriots ranked fifth in DBOE during the regular season (3%), but that has flipped in the playoffs (-4%). However, the weather in the second half of the AFC Championship game against Denver is a significant factor. In New England's two other playoff contests, they had a 3% DBOE.
The Patriots have utilized 11 personnel at the ninth-lowest rate (48%). The Patriots rank fourth in 21 personnel deployment.
AJ Barner | TE | Seahawks: Barner's fantasy points have plummeted to 0.8 PPG in two playoff contests. However, his route participation is up versus the regular season. Barner has a 76% route participation rate in two playoff games versus 68% in Weeks 1 through 18. However, there is some fragility with Barner. Rookie Elijah Arroyo was activated from injured reserve ahead of the NFC Championship game, but didn't play. He is expected to return for the Super Bowl.
Austin Hooper | TE | Patriots: Hooper notched a 34% route participation rate with a 6% target share in the regular season. In three games where the weather or game script has played a significant role in the playoffs, his route participation rate is up to 45%, but his target share is almost the same at 5%.
Cooper Kupp | WR | Seahawks: Kupp has been more active in Seattle's two playoff games with a 22% target share—up from 16% during the regular season. His 58 Utilization Score in the playoffs is 14 points higher than his regular-season mark of 44.
DeMario Douglas | WR | Patriots: Douglas garnered 53% and 42% route participation rates in the first two games of the playoffs. However, Mack Hollins returned in the AFC Championship game, and Douglas' route participation rate fell to 31%. He has a 7% target share and 11% TPRR in the playoffs. Douglas is New England's No. 4 WR.
George Holani | RB | Seahawks: Holani returned to the lineup in the NFC Championship game and was the primary two-minute back, handling 89% of the snaps. He posted a 12% target share against the Rams, finishing the day with a 42 Utilization Score and 6.1 fantasy points.
Hunter Henry | TE | Patriots: Henry's 76% route participation rate in the playoffs aligns with his regular-season mark of 75%. He was the team's No. 2 target in the regular season with a 17% target share. However, with the emergence of Stevenson in the passing game (14% target share), Henry's targets (15%) have come down somewhat in the playoffs. He remains a top-three option in the passing attack.
Jack Westover | FB | Patriots: Westover has played 39% of the snaps as the starting fullback in the playoffs. However, he has been uninvolved in the opportunity department with zero rushing attempts and a 1% target share.
Jake Bobo | WR | Seahawks: Bobo has operated as the No. 4 WR for Seattle in the playoffs with a 17% route participation rate and 6% target share. He technically shows up as a four-star bet to hit his over in receiving yards (0.5 yards, +167). However, this is one of those scenarios where he either catches a ball or doesn't, so I am a little more skeptical given his low route participation rate.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | Seahawks: JSN has kept the good times rolling in the playoffs with a 90 Utilization Score and 21.1 PPR points per game. The third-year breakout performer has accounted for 32% of the team's targets and 60% of the end zone looks in the playoffs. Smith-Njigba has collected 31% of his targets on play action, which has been a historical cheat code for WRs. Seems sharp.
Kayshon Boutte | WR | Patriots: Boutte has stepped up his game in the postseason, ranking second in route participation at 80%. He ranks second in target share at 21% and leads the team in air yards per game at 86.3. Boutte has the second-most fantasy points per game of any Patriot in the playoffs, with 9.6. His 54 Utilization Score isn't great, but on a team with a lackluster receiving corps, the third-year WR is a top-three option for Maye.
Kyle Williams | WR | Patriots: Route participation rates have been all over the board for Williams in the playoffs: 23%, 45% and 28%. His 18.6 average depth of target (aDOT) on the season makes him a big-play threat, but his role is highly volatile. Especially with Hollins back. Williams has a Utilization Score of 12 in the playoffs with 0.9 PPG.
Mack Hollins | WR | Patriots: Hollins returned following a four-game absence in the AFC Championship game and immediately regained the No. 3 WR role with a 48% route participation rate. Prior to his injury, Hollins reached a 70% route participation rate in five of six games. Over that period, he achieved a target share of 35% or higher twice. Hollins isn't a high-end WR, but we could see a larger role in the Super Bowl. He has averaged 37.5 yards per game this season and projects for the fourth-most against Seattle with 26 yards.
Rashid Shaheed | WR | Seahawks: Shaheed continues to operate as Seattle's No. 3 WR with a 66% route participation rate in the playoffs. He is always a threat to hit a big play and contributes in the return game and rushing attack, with 5% of the designed rushing attempts. Unfortunately, his target share hasn't regained the traction he enjoyed as a Saint. Shaheed has a 10% target share in the playoffs, which aligns with his 10% since joining the Seahawks.
Robbie Ouzts | FB | Seahawks: Ouzts is the starting fullback for the Seahawks, but is questionable due to a neck injury. His backup, Brady Russell, is also questionable after suffering a hand injury in the NFC Championship tilt.
Stefon Diggs | WR | Patriots: Diggs posted a surprisingly low route participation rate of 68% during the regular season. During the playoffs, that number has risen to 81%, and he leads the team with a 22% target share. However, his route participation fell to 72% in the AFC Championship game against Denver, with Hollins back in the lineup. Diggs isn't what he used to be, but he is still the best New England passing-game option, despite less-than-optimal playing time. He has scored 8.1 PPG in the playoffs versus 12.4 in the regular season.
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1. Rhamondre Stevenson is the RB1 in New England.
3. Kenneth Walker is balling out (again) in a full-time role.
